A report published by VoteWatchEurope on 19 April 2016, provides a gloom outlook for the European Union, in case the referendum on EU-UK relations on 23 June 2016 would indeed lead to a negative vote. Following earlier remarks by Nicola Sturgeon, the Prime Minister of Scotland, that the country would hold another referendum on Scottish independence if the UK would leave, the report speculates on further domino effects. Traditional allies of the UK, such as Sweden and Denmark, but also Poland and Hungary could reconsider their memberships as well. A poll has found that a majority of Swedes would want to leave the EU in case the UK would leave. A so called ''Brexit'' could therefore unleash another crisis, and potentially lead to more disintegration of the European Union.
When it comes to the Denmark, earlier the Danes had voted in a referendum against abolishing opt-outs they had when it comes to certain home affairs topics on 3 December 2015. Recently, the Dutch have also voted against the Association Agreement with Ukraine in a referendum on 6 April, which was considered by some as a vote against the EU itself.
The crisis a "Brexit" would unleash, could further put the EU under pressure. EU is still recovering from the Euro crisis, and now dealing with the refugee crisis. Recent polls also indicate a continuous decline of trust in the EU. At the same day of the report, the federalist Jean-Claude Juncker had also acknowledged Europeans had lost in the project of the EU, during a speech given in the Council of Europe.
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Click here for the report by VoteWatchEurope.
Click here for the Standard Eurobarometer 84, that has provides the most recent public opinion research on the faith that European have in the EU, and click here for the Swedish poll.
For more background information on the "Brexit" Referendum, click here, here and here.
For recent polls on the "Brexit" Referendum click here.